Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#182
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#157
Pace67.0#237
Improvement-2.3#269

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#225
First Shot-0.6#203
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#257
Layup/Dunks+1.5#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#269
Freethrows+1.2#89
Improvement+0.5#155

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#143
First Shot+1.1#128
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#194
Layups/Dunks-0.9#208
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#288
Freethrows+1.9#52
Improvement-2.8#306
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 37 - 47 - 11
Quad 49 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 15   @ Michigan L 71-79 6%     0 - 1 +9.3 -0.3 +10.3
  Nov 12, 2019 202   East Carolina W 68-62 66%     1 - 1 +0.9 -5.3 +6.3
  Nov 15, 2019 239   Montana St. L 56-59 63%     1 - 2 -7.3 -17.3 +10.1
  Nov 16, 2019 325   Tennessee Tech W 69-47 83%     2 - 2 +11.1 +2.5 +12.0
  Nov 18, 2019 96   @ UNC Greensboro L 41-55 20%     2 - 3 -5.7 -23.1 +16.5
  Nov 21, 2019 171   Charlotte W 64-55 59%     3 - 3 +5.9 -9.2 +14.9
  Nov 26, 2019 65   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-78 13%     3 - 4 +2.1 +2.9 -0.9
  Dec 14, 2019 349   @ Howard W 81-59 91%     4 - 4 +6.8 -5.0 +11.0
  Dec 19, 2019 157   @ South Alabama W 81-71 33%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +13.7 +14.8 -0.5
  Dec 21, 2019 292   @ Troy W 70-65 64%     6 - 4 2 - 0 +0.5 -3.7 +4.3
  Dec 29, 2019 45   @ North Carolina St. L 60-72 10%     6 - 5 +1.0 -7.3 +8.3
  Jan 02, 2020 131   Georgia St. L 60-69 49%     6 - 6 2 - 1 -9.6 -19.8 +11.1
  Jan 04, 2020 132   Georgia Southern W 74-72 50%     7 - 6 3 - 1 +1.3 -3.4 +4.6
  Jan 06, 2020 219   Louisiana L 73-81 71%     7 - 7 3 - 2 -14.4 -6.1 -8.1
  Jan 09, 2020 137   @ Texas Arlington L 56-66 29%     7 - 8 3 - 3 -4.9 -5.5 -0.7
  Jan 11, 2020 102   @ Texas St. L 57-82 21%     7 - 9 3 - 4 -17.2 -3.6 -17.1
  Jan 16, 2020 212   Arkansas St. W 83-80 OT 68%     8 - 9 4 - 4 -2.7 +2.1 -4.9
  Jan 18, 2020 134   Arkansas Little Rock L 57-73 50%     8 - 10 4 - 5 -16.7 -16.6 -0.4
  Jan 25, 2020 189   @ Coastal Carolina W 78-58 40%     9 - 10 5 - 5 +21.7 +5.0 +16.9
  Jan 30, 2020 212   @ Arkansas St. W 71-64 46%     10 - 10 6 - 5 +7.4 +5.4 +2.9
  Feb 01, 2020 134   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 86-93 28%     10 - 11 6 - 6 -1.6 +22.0 -24.3
  Feb 06, 2020 137   Texas Arlington W 57-50 51%     11 - 11 7 - 6 +6.1 -7.1 +14.1
  Feb 08, 2020 102   Texas St. W 60-57 40%     12 - 11 8 - 6 +4.8 -4.8 +9.9
  Feb 13, 2020 131   @ Georgia St. L 65-76 27%     12 - 12 8 - 7 -5.6 -8.0 +2.8
  Feb 15, 2020 132   @ Georgia Southern W 62-57 28%     13 - 12 9 - 7 +10.4 -5.6 +16.1
  Feb 20, 2020 157   South Alabama L 70-78 56%     13 - 13 9 - 8 -10.4 +1.4 -12.6
  Feb 22, 2020 292   Troy W 68-59 82%     14 - 13 10 - 8 -1.5 -7.6 +6.3
  Feb 29, 2020 189   Coastal Carolina L 77-84 64%     14 - 14 10 - 9 -11.3 -4.6 -6.3
  Mar 03, 2020 247   @ Louisiana Monroe W 61-57 55%     15 - 14 11 - 9 +2.0 -8.3 +10.5
  Mar 09, 2020 189   Coastal Carolina W 70-65 64%     16 - 14 +0.7 -6.1 +6.8
  Mar 11, 2020 102   @ Texas St. L 68-85 21%     16 - 15 -9.2 -2.9 -5.6
Projected Record 16 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%